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Prediction for CME (2022-08-16T02:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-08-16T02:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21221/-1 CME Note: This CME is first visible to the south-southwest in SOHO LASCO C2 imagery. It appears to the southwest in STEREO A COR2 imagery with a very bright front. The source of this CME is an eruption from AR 13078 associated with filament material (SDO/AIA 304), brightening (SDO/AIA 304, 193), post-eruptive arcade (SDO/AIA 193), and possibly two flares (SDO/AIA 131). CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-08-18T23:14Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 55.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: -20949.70 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z |
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